BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing
Index

Trend setter – PMI

15 Aug, 2013

Manufacturing activity for July continued the trend of healthy expansion in the sector, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for July was 59.5 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was 4.3 points higher than June, and compared with previous July results the 2013 value was the highest since the survey began in 2002, as well as the third highest monthly result on record. Overall, the first seven months of 2013 has averaged a healthy 56.3.

BusinessNZ’s executive director for manufacturing Catherine Beard said that the July result provides further impetus into a continuing trend of a sector in good heart for 2013.

“Unlike the lacklustre results during the middle part of 2012, the 2013 results have not only held up, but have improved since the start of the year. Positive comments from manufacturers have surged to 67.3%, highlighting an increase in foreign and domestic orders, as well as an uplift in the general economy.

“Like previous months, strong new orders and production remain a key element for overall growth in the sector, which was evident in July. In addition, deliveries of raw materials produced its highest level of activity since the survey began, further boosting the overall result.”

BNZ economist Doug Steel said the PMI results were very impressive given the marked slowdown in the Australian economy and its importance for NZ manufactured exports. “It just shows how positive domestic demand is becoming.”

Given the continuing healthy levels of activity in the sector, all five seasonally adjusted main diffusion indices were again in expansion for July. Deliveries of raw materials (62.3) led the way for July by the thinnest of margins, as production (62.2) and new orders (62.1) were almost identical in terms of activity. Employment (53.1) picked up 1.2 points after a dip in expansion for June, while finished stocks (52.6) remained at a similar level to the previous month.

Expansion was experienced in all parts of the country in July. The Canterbury region (62.7) led the way in July, recovering from a dip in expansion in June. The Northern region (60.2) continued to show healthy growth, while the Central region (58.3) returned to expansion after a slight fall into contraction during the previous month. The Otago-Southland region (54.7) improved 1.5 points from June, and has now been in expansion for three consecutive months.

Click here to view the July PMIClick here to view the time series data

For media comment: Catherine Beard 027 463 3212 or 04 496 6560 or Doug Steel 04 474 6923.

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Manufacturing Snapshot

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 1966 – January 1970

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMITM

About the PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

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The BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations