BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

Declining fortunes

19 May, 2025
48.5
April
-0.4

Monthly Change

Contracting
Faster Rate

New Zealand’s services sector showed further decline in activity during April, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).

The PSI for April was 48.5 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was down 0.4 points from March and well below the average of 53.0 over the history of the survey.

BusinessNZ’s CEO, Katherine Rich said the sector has fallen back into a pattern of mild contraction. For the sub-index results, Activity/Sales (47.3) remained the same as March, although New Orders/Business (50.9) continued to buck the trend with its highest value since February 2024. Employment (48.2) fell back into contraction, while Deliveries (45.8) recorded its lowest level of activity since September 2024.

The proportion of negative comments for April (61.8%) was up from March (56.7%) and February (57.8%). Businesses noted being negatively impacted by a combination of weak consumer demand, high cost of living and interest rates, economic and geopolitical uncertainty, seasonal slowdowns and low business confidence.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “for all the commentary around the economic recovery, the PSI is a good reminder that current conditions are extremely challenging. New Zealand’s PSI remains weaker than all our key trading partners. At 48.5, it’s consistent with a service sector still moving backwards”.

Activity/Sales
47.3
Employment
48.2
New Orders/
Business
50.9
Stocks/Inventories
48.5
Supplier
Deliveries
45.8
43.7
42.2
50.7
42.5
Katherine Rich

Katherine Rich

CEO, BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Services Landscape

Stuck below 50

The Performance of Services Index (PSI) eased slightly from 48.9 to 48.5 in April. Unlike the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI), the PSI is yet to make a sustained move back above the breakeven 50 mark.

Read more

Weakness broad-based

Looking at the PSI sub-indices, they are all well below their long-run averages. The new orders index at 50.9 is positive, but a far cry from its average of 56.5. Of some concern, the trend towards the 50 mark for the overall PSI appears to have stalled.

Read more

Retail trade under pressure

Across industries, the PSI retail trade index has consistently been the weakest over the last year. Official figures show that retail sales volumes have declined in 9 of the last 12 quarters.

Read more

Economy struggling for momentum

Combining together the PMI and PSI, the Composite Index (PCI) suggests the economy is struggling for momentum. There is an increasing risk that our forecasts for GDP growth of around 2% this year are not met.

Read more

Doug Steel

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Apr 2024 Dec 2024 Jan 2025 Feb 2025 Mar 2025 Apr 2025
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 47.2 48.0 50.3 48.9 48.9 48.5
Activity/Sales 46.4 46.4 53.7 49.0 47.3 47.3
Employment 47.4 47.7 47.4 49.0 50.0 48.2
New Orders/Business 47.3 49.4 50.0 49.5 50.8 50.9
Stocks/Inventories 46.5 48.8 49.9 47.8 48.9 48.5
Supplier Deliveries 47.8 47.6 47.7 47.6 48.2 45.8

BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

January 2019 – April 2025

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSITM

07 May 2025
50.8
USA
50.8
UK
49.0
Eurozone
50.1
China
50.7
Japan
52.4
Australia
51.0
NZ
48.5

About the PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PSI Releases

Service with a slump

New Zealand’s services sector continued to show further decline in activity during May, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for May was 44.0 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding;...

Continued softness

New Zealand’s services sector continued to show slight contraction during March, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for March was 49.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Ups and downs

New Zealand’s services sector slipped back into contraction during February, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for February was 49.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Over the line

After 10 consecutive months of contraction, New Zealand’s services sector exhibited slight expansion during January, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for January was 50.4 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the...

No Christmas Joy

New Zealand’s services sector exhibited a faster rate of contraction during December, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for December was 47.9 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally...

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

48.2

GDP-Weighted Index

50.8

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) again saw mixed results during April.

The April GDP-Weighted Index (48.2) dove further into contraction, while the Free-Weighted Index (50.8) remained in expansion, although not at the same level as March.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Apr 2024 Dec 2024 Jan 2025 Feb 2025 Mar 2025 Apr 2025
GDP-Weighted Index 46.4 48.0 50.5 49.4 49.4 48.2
Free-Weighted Index 47.5 47.6 50.9

50.7 51.0 50.8

BNZ – BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

January 2020 – April 2025

About the PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations