BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of Manufacturing Index

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing Index

Continued Gains

51.4

November

+0.2

Monthly Change

Expanding

Faster Rate

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector showed further expansion during November, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for November was 51.4 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was 0.2 points higher than October, but still below the average of 52.4 since the survey began.

BusinessNZ’s Director of Advocacy, Catherine Beard, said that in the current economic climate, any move that sees activity both positive and higher than the previous month is a welcome step.

“Four of the five sub-index values were in expansion during November, lead by Production (52.8). Employment (52.4) was in positive territory for the first time since April 2025, while New Orders (51.9) remained in expansion, albeit down from last month. In contrast, Deliveries (49.0) fell into contraction for the first time since June 2025.

The proportion of negative comments from respondents stood at 45.6% for November, down from 54.1% in October and 60.2% in September.  Manufacturers reported a lift in demand driven by seasonal Christmas activity, improving economic conditions and rising customer confidence. Increased orders, both domestic and overseas, along with stronger construction activity, new customers, and product launches contributed to a more positive outlook.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “the PMI has seemingly settled above the breakeven 50 mark. Nonetheless, we want to see more upbeat outturns from this survey and the Performance of Services Index (due Monday), to provide us with some comfort that the expected lift in Q3 GDP can be sustained into Q4”.

Production
52.8
Employment
52.4
New Orders
51.9
Finished Stocks
50.5
Deliveries
49.0
54.9
62.9
56.1
53.2

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

Manufacturing Snapshot

Settling not surging

The Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) has seemingly settled above the breakeven 50 mark. Its November reading (51.4) was steady around the same level as October (51.2).

Read more

Lacking momentum

Data released yesterday showed core manufacturing sales volumes (excluding meat and dairy) eased 0.2% q/q in Q3 2025. Restarts at Methanex and Tiwai Point were offset by the closure of other manufacturing plants.

Read more

Details mixed

Monthly movements in the PMI sub-indices were mixed. The PMI employment index jumped from 48.3 to 52.4, its largest lift in one month since mid-2021. But, stepping back from month-to-month volatility, the employment index sits at 49.5 on a 3-month average basis, suggesting stable rather than growing employment.

Read more

Similar to Australia

Australia’s PMI (51.6) nudged back above New Zealand’s (51.4) in November. The PMIs imply similar manufacturing sector conditions across the two countries at present, but it is important to remember that our PMI was much deeper in contraction than Australia across most of 2023 and 2024.

Read more

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Nov 2024 Jul 2025 Aug 2025 Sep 2025 Oct 2025 Nov 2025
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 45.9 52.8 50.0 50.0 51.2 51.4
Production 43.5 53.5 47.2 50.5 52.0 52.8
Employment 47.0 49.8 49.2 47.8 48.3 52.4
New Orders 45.2 54.4 54.8 50.2 54.5 51.9
Finished Stocks 50.0 51.5 47.3 50.7 51.3 50.5
Deliveries 50.5 52.2 50.7 51.1 50.3 49.0

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2020 – November 2025

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI

02 Dec 2025
50.5
USA
52.2
UK
50.2
Eurozone
49.6
China
49.9
Japan
48.7
Australia
51.6
NZ
51.4

Stephen Summers

Economist, BusinessNZ

About The PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Mark Cox
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations