BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of Manufacturing Index

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing Index

Still expanding, but war clouds the outlook

53.2

March

-1.6

Monthly Change

Expanding

Slower Rate

According to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI), New Zealand’s manufacturing sector was expanding in March, albeit at a slower rate than previously.

The seasonally adjusted PMI for March was 53.2 (a reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing as a whole is expanding, below 50.0 that it is contracting). This was down from 54.8 in February and 55.0 in January, but still above the long-term average of 52.5.

BusinessNZ’s Director of Advocacy, Catherine Beard said: “It is gratifying to see that the manufacturing sector is still expanding but, at the same time, it is concerning to note that the proportion of businesses commenting negatively about their situation increased to 62.0%, from 44.5% in February.” The comments showed that the war in Iran, and its wider consequences, are weighing heavily on the minds of the respondents.

Despite the downturn in confidence, the New Orders sub-index was the strongest, at 55.8. The weakest was Deliveries of Raw Materials, at 50.0. The sub-index for Production was 53.8, the sub-index for Employment was 51.4, and the sub-index for Stocks of Finished Products was 54.0.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “The PMI result supports our view that economic growth was reasonable in the first quarter of the year, even though material headwinds had accumulated by quarter’s end.”

Production
53.8
Employment
51.4
New Orders
55.8
Finished Stocks
54.0
Deliveries
50.0
52.8
50.7
52.3
66.1

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

Manufacturing Snapshot

Too soon?

The PMI remains at a healthy level. While it is no longer trending higher, it hasn’t been unduly hit by the fuel price surge and the uncertainty of war. At least not yet.

Read more

Stocking up

There is evidence of some temporary PMI support from spending being brought forward and businesses stockpiling. Stocks of finished products index jumped up to 54.0 in March, its highest level in a year.

Read more

Weaker sentiment

Although the activity indicators held up reasonably well, the proportion of positive comments in the survey tumbled from 55.5% to 38.0% in March.

Read more

Supply-driven oil price shock

The current surge in commodity prices is from a supply shock. This raises the prospect that currently rising prices are more likely to dampen manufacturing activity and economic growth, both in New Zealand and abroad.

Read more

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Mar 2025 Nov 2025 Dec 2025 Jan 2026 Feb 2026 Mar 2026
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 52.6 51.9 56.0 55.0 54.8 53.2
Production 53.2 53.4 57.4 56.3 56.3 53.8
Employment 54.4 52.6 53.6 52.5 50.3 51.4
New Orders 50.3 52.7 60.0 56.4 57.2 55.8
Finished Stocks 54.0 50.8 50.5 51.1 51.3 54.0
Deliveries 54.4 49.5 56.1 53.0 50.7 50.0

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2020 – March 2026

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI

01 Apr 2026
51.3
USA
52.3
UK
51.0
Eurozone
51.6
China
50.8
Japan
51.6
Australia
49.8
NZ
53.2

About The PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Mark Cox
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations