BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of Manufacturing Index

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing Index

Down a gear

52.0

September

-2.8

Monthly Change

expanding

slower rate

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector saw an easing of expansion in September, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for September was 52.0 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining).  This was 2.8 points lower than August, and the lowest level of activity since June.

BusinessNZ’s Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard said that the September result could not build on the above average growth experienced during the previous two months.  

“Looking at the sub-index results, the two key sub-index values of Production (52.0) and New Orders (48.4) both fell back from August, with the latter moving back into contraction for the second time in 13 months.  Conversely, Finished Stocks (55.0) was at its highest point since July 2021, while Deliveries (54.5) experienced a further lift from August”.

Manufacturers have continued with a more negative mindset, with the proportion of negative comments at 61.5% for September, compared with 53.6% in August and 62.1% in July. Labour shortages, decreased demand and cost pressures were the main flavour of comments made by manufacturers.

BNZ Senior Economist, Doug Steel stated “the overall trend remains positive, but with ongoing volatility around it. On the positive side, the PMI’s 3-month moving average has continued to edge higher this month but, not so good, the 52.0 monthly reading is now back below the PMI’s longer-term norm”.

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

Manufacturing Snapshot

PMI

The Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) continues to be choppy month-to-month. After a decent push higher in August, up to 54.8, the PMI eased back to a slower pace of 52.0 in September.

Read more

Demand and Supply

New orders stood out across the major components with the index falling heavily from a very strong 59.7 in August to an outright weak 48.4 in September.

Read more

Global PMI Turns Negative

While NZ’s PMI has remained positive, albeit choppy, that is not the case for the global manufacturing sector overall. The global PMI eased further to 49.8 in September, so dipping below the breakeven 50 mark for the first time since the pandemic’s initial hit.

Read more

That’s Different

We don’t know why, but it is interesting to note that large NZ firms recorded a very weak 46.3 PMI in September especially compared to a very strong 58.9 for micro firms.

Read more

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Sep 2021 May 2022 Jun 2022 Jul 2022 Aug 2022 Sep 2022
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 52.3 52.7 50.2 53.5 54.8 52.0
Production 50.9 52.7 48.3 51.1 54.5 52.0
Employment 53.9 52.9 51.4 52.8 53.6 51.9
New Orders 54.7 52.3 48.0 50.9 59.7 48.4
Finished Stocks 49.3 52.8 50.1 49.7 52.0 55.0
Deliveries 47.8 55.1 51.8 50.3 55.0 54.5

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2018 – September 2022

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI

03 Oct 2022
49.8

Stephen Summers

Economist, BusinessNZ

About The PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Mark Cox
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations