BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing
Index

Long and slow road

11 Oct, 2024
46.9
September
+0.8

Monthly Change

Contracting
Slower Rate

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector continued to show higher levels of activity for September, although remained in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for September was 46.9 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was up from 46.1 in August, and the third consecutive month showing a higher level of activity compared with the previous month. However, the sector remains firmly in contraction that now extents to 19 consecutive months, and well below the average of 52.6 since the survey began.

BusinessNZ’s Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard said that the good news was that the PMI is now at its highest result since April. The bad news though was that it appears to be a long and slow road to get the sector back into positive territory.

“The key sub-index results for Production (48.0) and New Orders (47.8) were the highest since April 2024 and November 2023 respectively, while Finished Stocks (46.6) also nudged up from the previous month. However, both Employment (46.6) and Deliveries (45.6) were slightly down from August”.

The proportion of negative comments from respondents stood at 63.5% in September, which was down from 64.2% in August, 71.1% in July and 76.3% in June. Negative comments typically focused most heavily on a lack of orders and sales.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “while all sub-indices remain well below their historical average, four of the five series have moved closer to breakeven in the last three months since June”.

Production
48.0
Employment
46.6
New Orders
47.8
Finished Stocks
46.6
Deliveries
45.6
48.2
45.6
46.9
52.8
Catherine Beard

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Manufacturing Snapshot

Contracting at a slower pace

The Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) improved slightly from 46.1 to 46.9 in September. While the PMI remains firmly in contraction, this is its third consecutive month of recovery since its trough of 41.4 in June.

Read more

Still weakening but to a lesser degree

While all sub-indices remain well below their historical average, four of the five series have moved closer to breakeven in the last three months since June.

Read more

Labour market likely to lag

Like the PMI, NZIER’s September Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) still paints a picture of a struggling manufacturing sector.

Read more

Gap to Australia converging

New Zealand’s PMI (46.9) inched above Australia’s (46.7) for the first time since February. The PMI is an indicator of outcomes and shows that current conditions remain challenging in both economies.

Read more

Doug Steel

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Sep 2023 May 2024 Jun 2024 Jul 2024 Aug 2024 Sep 2024
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 45.1 46.7 41.4 44.6 46.1 46.9
Production 43.9 44.1 35.0 44.3 46.6 48.0
Employment 45.2 50.1 44.2 43.6 46.8 46.6
New Orders 45.1 44.2 39.5 43.4 47.3 47.8
Finished Stocks 51.3 52.0 47.5 46.2 46.0 46.6
Deliveries 44.8 44.9 45.0 44.7 45.8 45.6

BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2020 – September 2024

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMITM

01 Oct 2024
48.8
USA
47.3
UK
51.5
Eurozone
45.0
China
49.3
Japan
49.7
Australia
46.7
NZ
46.9

About the PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

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Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations