BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing
Index

Lost momentum

15 Nov, 2024
45.8
October
-1.2

Monthly Change

Contracting
Faster Rate

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector showed contraction at a faster rate during October, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for October was 45.8 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was down from 47.0 in September, and the lowest level of activity since July 2024. The sector has now been in contraction for 20 consecutive months.

BusinessNZ’s Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard said that despite some momentum over the previous few months that saw the results for the sector getting progressively closer to the no change mark of 50.0, October’s result halted that.

“The key sub-index result for Production (44.5) fell 3.4 points from September, while both Employment (45.8) and Deliveries (44.6) dropped one point. In contrast, Finished Stocks (47.4) lifted 0.7 points, while New Orders (49.0) rose 1.1 points and at its highest level since May 2023.

The proportion of negative comments from respondents stood at 53.5% in October. This was down from 63.5% in September, 64.2% in August, 71.1% in July and 76.3% in June. Negative comments typically focused on the general economic downturn.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “despite lower interest rates, the manufacturing sector continues to face significant headwinds. Recent business surveys have shown a sharp contrast between improved expectations for activity and weak current conditions”.

Production
44.5
Employment
45.8
New Orders
49.0
Finished Stocks
47.4
Deliveries
44.6
49.4
46.4
46.3
46.9
Catherine Beard

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Manufacturing Snapshot

Reality check

The Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) fell from 47.0 to 45.8 in October. The latest outturn is a reality check after three consecutive months of improvement in the PMI.

Read more

Production struggling

All the PMI sub-indices remain in contraction and well below their long-run averages. In October, the PMI production index decreased the most from 47.9 to 44.5.

Read more

New orders offer some hope

The PMI new orders index nudged up from 47.9 to 49.0. While it still suggests that new orders are falling slightly, it is another step in the right direction and is not far from indicating an upturn in demand.

Read more

Labour market still deteriorating

Since its peak last year, the total number of jobs in manufacturing has declined by around 14,300 according to the latest quarterly employment survey (QES) data.

Read more

Doug Steel

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Oct 2023 Jun 2024 Jul 2024 Aug 2024 Sep 2024 Oct 2024
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 43.4 41.3 44.6 46.2 47.0 45.8
Production 42.5 34.9 44.3 46.5 47.9 44.5
Employment 44.3 44.2 43.4 46.9 46.8 45.8
New Orders 45.0 39.4 43.4 47.5 47.9 49.0
Finished Stocks 45.4 47.6 46.3 46.1 46.7 47.4
Deliveries 43.9 45.0 44.7 45.8 45.6 44.6

BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2020 – October 2024

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMITM

04 Nov 2024
49.4
USA
48.5
UK
49.9
Eurozone
46.0
China
50.3
Japan
49.2
Australia
47.3
NZ
45.8

About the PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PMI Releases

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New Zealand’s manufacturing sector continued to show higher levels of activity for September, although remained in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for September was 46.9 (a PMI...

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New Zealand’s manufacturing sector showed further signs of improvement during August, although still in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for August was 45.8 (a PMI reading above...

Stopping the Rot

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector showed some small signs of improvement, although still in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for July was 44.0 (a PMI reading above...

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Lack of orders

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector experienced a drop in May and ongoing contraction of the sector, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for May was 47.2 (a PMI reading above 50.0...

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations