BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of Manufacturing Index

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing Index

Manufacturing ends year on high

56.1

December

+4.4

Monthly Change

Expanding

Faster Rate

December’s activity for New Zealand’s manufacturing sector showed its highest level of activity since December 2021, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for December was 56.1 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was 4.4 points higher than November, and above the average of 52.5 since the survey began.

BusinessNZ’s Director of Advocacy, Catherine Beard, said that the December result was a very welcome way to end the year, with 8 of the 12 months showing some level of expansion.

“All five sub-index values were in expansion during December. This was led by New Orders (59.8), which was at its highest level of activity since July 2021. Production (57.4) also showed a significant lift in activity, while Employment (53.8) continued to recover after a number of months exhibiting declines during 2025.

The proportion of positive comments from respondents stood at 57.1% for December, which was up from 54.4% for November and 45.9% in October. Manufacturers saw improved activity, mainly due to seasonal Christmas demand, which lifted domestic sales, orders, and short-term workloads. This was supported by firmer business and consumer confidence, increased export and forward orders, and some gains from new customers, products, and infrastructure-related work.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “the PMI is positive for Q4 GDP calculations and points to good momentum heading into the New Year. At face value, it suggests upside risk to the positive view we already have for manufacturing and near-term GDP growth forecasts”.

Production
57.4
Employment
53.8
New Orders
59.8
Finished Stocks
52.2
Deliveries
56.1
55.3
60.6
55.3
37.5

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

Manufacturing Snapshot

Daylight

We have been noting for some months that the likes of the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) needed to show more upbeat outturns, and relatively soon, to be consistent with our economic forecasts.

Read more

Compelling

One always wonders how much a material monthly movement in one direction or the other can be believed as an indicator of trend. Only time will tell if December’s PMI strength can be maintained.

Read more

GDP, the world, and a soft spot

The PMI is positive for Q4 GDP calculations and points to good momentum heading into the New Year. At face value, it suggests upside risk to the positive view we already have for manufacturing and near-term GDP growth forecasts.

Read more

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Dec 2024 Aug 2025 Sep 2025 Oct 2025 Nov 2025 Dec 2025
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 46.0 50.0 50.0 51.4 51.7 56.1
Production 43.6 47.2 50.6 52.2 53.2 57.4
Employment 47.8 49.2 47.9 48.4 52.6 53.8
New Orders 46.1 54.8 50.4 54.8 52.5 59.8
Finished Stocks 48.3 47.2 50.4 50.7 50.1 52.2
Deliveries 49.5 50.7 51.2 50.5 49.4 56.1

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2020 – December 2025

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI

03 Jan 2026
50.4
USA
51.8
UK
50.6
Eurozone
48.8
China
50.1
Japan
50.0
Australia
51.6
NZ
56.1

Stephen Summers

Economist, BusinessNZ

About The PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Mark Cox
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations