BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of Manufacturing Index

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing Index

Signs of life

51.4

October

+1.3

Monthly Change

Expanding

Faster Rate

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector showed increased expansion during October, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for October was 51.4 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was 1.3 points higher than September, but still below the average of 52.4 since the survey began.

BusinessNZ’s Director of Advocacy, Catherine Beard, said that after two months of flatlining activity in the sector, at least October showed more signs of life.

“Four of the five sub-index values were in expansion during October, lead by New Orders (54.9), which showed its highest level of expansion since August 2022. This was followed by Production (52.0) and Finished Stocks (51.3). In contrast, Employment (48.1) remained in contraction, which has now been the case for six consecutive months”.

The proportion of negative comments from respondents stood at 54.1% for October, down from 60.2% in September and 58.1% in August.  Manufacturers reported a lift in orders and improved demand, helped by seasonal activity, new customers/products, and signs of economic confidence returning. Many also noted better efficiency and productivity, with process improvements and automation supporting stronger sales and output.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “the lift to 51.4 from September’s 50.1 isn’t large, but it has moved the right way. The October result sees the PMI now boasting four consecutive months above the breakeven 50 mark for the second time in three years”.

Production
52.0
Employment
48.1
New Orders
54.9
Finished Stocks
51.3
Deliveries
50.6
52.6
59.9
50.7
53.4

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

Manufacturing Snapshot

PMI encouraging

We have previously discussed that the PMI needs to start lifting soon to be consistent with the shape of economic recovery that we (and the RBNZ) are forecasting.

Read more

Details add to the positive hue

The PMI details added to the sense of improvement. The biggest gains were in the areas one would expect to see first in a cyclical recovery – namely new orders and production.

Read more

GDP supportive

Manufacturing is expected to make a positive contribution to Q3 GDP thanks, in part, to restarts of some major plants and a bounce in meat processing.

Read more

Employment lagging

For all the encouraging signs in new orders and production, the PMI employment index remained weak at 48.1 in October.

Read more

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Oct 2024 Jun 2025 Jul 2025 Aug 2025 Sep 2025 Oct 2025
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 46.3 49.1 52.8 50.0 50.1 51.4
Production 44.9 48.7 53.6 47.2 50.5 52.0
Employment 46.8 47.8 49.9 49.2 47.7 48.1
New Orders 48.4 51.9 54.3 54.8 50.5 54.9
Finished Stocks 47.7 46.8 51.5 47.3 50.7 51.3
Deliveries 46.5 47.9 52.2 50.7 51.2 50.6

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2020 – October 2025

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI

04 Nov 2025
50.8
USA
52.5
UK
49.7
Eurozone
50.0
China
50.6
Japan
48.2
Australia
49.7
NZ
51.4

Stephen Summers

Economist, BusinessNZ

About The PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Mark Cox
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations