BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of Manufacturing Index

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing Index

Stopping the Rot

44.0

July

+2.8

Monthly Change

Contracting

Slower Rate

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector showed some small signs of improvement, although still in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for July was 44.0 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was up from 41.2 in June, but still significantly below the long term average of 52.6. The sector has now been in contraction for 17 consecutive months.

BusinessNZ’s Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard said that while the July result showed some improvement from June, the numbers still told the story of a sector continuing to struggle.

“The key sub-index results for Production (43.4) and New Orders (42.5) both returned to figures above the 40-point activity level, although both still showing significant contraction. In contrast, Employment (43.1) continued to plunge further, as did Finished Stocks (46.5)”.

Given the relative improvement in activity for July, the proportion of negative comments stood at 71.1% in July, compared with 76.3% in June. Negative comments outlined a lack of orders, customers and sales continuing recent trends.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “manufacturing activity will turn when the broader economy turns. Easing monetary conditions will help in this regard, but it will take time for the likes of a lower OCR to generate a general pick up in sales”.

Production
43.4
Employment
43.1
New Orders
42.5
Finished Stocks
46.5
Deliveries
44.3
40.5
46.8
47.1
39.5

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

Manufacturing Snapshot

Still dreadful

Perhaps the best thing to be said about July’s Performance of Manufacturing Index is that it was less bad than June’s result. But June’s 41.2 was dreadful. July’s 44.0 is only a little less dreadful.

Read more

All below average

The full impact of the wholesale electricity price surge remains to be seen. But it is notable that the sharp margin compression for some of those exposed has appeared to threaten, or result in, output reduction much more so than pass through to selling prices.

Read more

Production, employment down; inventory too

An ongoing lack of demand has seen the PMI production index post its 18th consecutive month below 50. The PMI employment index slipped again, to 43.1, indicating further reduction in manufacturing employment and/or paid hours into Q3.

Read more

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Jul 2023 Mar 2024 Apr 2024 May 2024 Jun 2024 Jul 2024
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 46.2 46.6 48.5 46.6 41.2 44.0
Production 43.6 45.7 49.8 43.7 35.7 43.4
Employment 45.4 46.7 50.5 50.0 44.0 43.1
New Orders 45.2 44.5 45.0 44.0 39.0 42.5
Finished Stocks 52.9 49.6 50.6 52.1 47.7 46.5
Deliveries 43.7 47.3 47.9 44.9 44.8 44.3

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2020 – July 2024

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI

01 Aug 2024
49.7
USA
49.6
UK
52.1
Eurozone
45.8
China
49.8
Japan
49.1
Australia
47.5
NZ
44.0

Stephen Summers

Economist, BusinessNZ

About The PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Mark Cox
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations