BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of Services Index

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

Back to Contraction

48.0

February

-2.7

Monthly Change

Contracting

Previously Expanding

The services sector in New Zealand fell back into contraction during February, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).

The PSI for February was 48.0 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was 2.7 points lower than January and below the average of 52.8 over the history of the survey.

BusinessNZ’s CEO, Katherine Rich said that the sector’s rebound into expansion only lasted two months, with a February result similar to levels of contraction seen towards the end of 2025. All main sub-index results were in contraction, with Stocks/Inventories (46.7) displaying the largest level of contraction, followed by Employment (47.2)

The proportion of negative comments for February was 56.4%, which was down from January (58.7%) but up from December (50.4%). Negative comments received outlined weak economic conditions, high living costs, inflation and interest rates as reducing consumer spending and demand for services. Seasonal holiday effects, low confidence, staffing constraints, rising costs and broader uncertainty also contributed to softer activity.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “alas, today’s PSI suggests the economy is recovering at a slower pace than we might have expected. The PSI comes as a real disappointment given that Friday’s Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) was relatively upbeat”.

Activity/Sales
47.9
Employment
47.2
New Orders/
Business
49.3
Stocks/Inventories
46.7
Supplier
Deliveries
48.7
48.3
50.7
49.9
50.7

Katherine Rich

CEO, BusinessNZ

Services Landscape

New Zealand’s economic fragility exposed

Most indicators released over the last couple of months have provided evidence that the economy is in recovery mode. For us the question had moved on from will there be a recovery to how strong will the recovery be?

Read more

Services sector struggling

After two months in the black, the PSI fell back under the magical 50 mark to wallow at 48.0. Every indicator was sub 50 with a notable drop in employment to 47.2, its lowest reading since January 2025.

Read more

Growth expectations under threat

The activity/sales index slumped to 47.9 from 53.8, which was enough to drag the combined PMI/PSI activity indicator down substantially from last month’s reading.

Read more

Blame it on the weather?

As the PMI and PSI survey followed the disastrous weather events of early February one might consider that there is some hope of a bounce in the ensuing months, but the March survey will be the first to reflect the impact on business of the bedlam in the Middle East so any such bounce may now be a vain hope.

Read more

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Feb 2025 Oct 2025 Nov 2025 Dec 2025 Jan 2026 Feb 2026
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 48.6 48.8 47.4 51.6 50.7 48.0
Activity/Sales 48.9 48.9 46.4 52.3 53.8 47.9
Employment 48.9 48.7 46.5 49.6 49.0 47.2
New Orders/Business 48.9 49.6 49.7 52.6 51.6 49.3
Stocks/Inventories 48.0 47.8 47.6 52.1 49.4 46.7
Supplier Deliveries 47.4 49.5 48.9 49.8 49.4 48.7

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

January 2019 – February 2026

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSI

05 Feb 2026
53.4
USA
51.7
UK
53.9
Eurozone
51.9
China
56.7
Japan
53.8
Australia
52.8
NZ
48.0

Stephen Summers

Economist, BusinessNZ

About The PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Mark Cox
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

48.7

GDP-Weighted Index

50.5

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) showed contrasting results between the two measurements.

The February GDP-Weighted Index stood at 48.7, given the services sector fell back into contraction.  The Free-Weighted Index was still in positive territory at 50.5.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Feb 2025 Oct 2025 Nov 2025 Dec 2025 Jan 2026 Feb 2026
GDP-Weighted Index 49.0 49.2 47.9 52.2 51.2 48.7
Free-Weighted Index 50.3 50.4 49.3 53.8 52.3 50.5

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

January 2020 – February 2026

About The PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations