BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

Below norm

24 Jan, 2023
52.1
December
-1.7

Monthly Change

expanding
slower rate

Expansion levels for New Zealand’s services sector continued to lower in December, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).

The PSI for December was 52.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was down 1.7 points from November, and below the long-term average of 53.6 for the survey.

BusinessNZ chief executive Kirk Hope said that while the sector remained in expansion for the last month of 2022, the December result saw the key sub-index of Activity/Sales (52.1) down to its lowest level since February 2022, which was also the case for Employment (47.1) and Stocks (51.7). New Orders/Business (58.4) did lift from November, while Deliveries (53.4) reverted back to expansion for December.

“Despite the Index remaining in expansion mode, the proportion of negative comments lifted and dominated for December (58.2%), compared with only 47.3% in November. While seasonal factors such as Christmas and holidays were discussed, the shortage of labour continues to have a strong mark on negative comments made, along with a number of businesses pointing to general uncertainty in the market”.

BNZ Senior Economist Craig Ebert said that “December marked a significant slowdown in a short space of time for the PSI, although the maintained loftiness in New Orders/Business suggested there was still a lot of demand-side pressure at play”.

Kirk Hope

Kirk Hope

CEO, BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Services Landscape

PSI

The further fall in the Performance of Services Index (PSI) in December marked a significant slowdown in a short space of time. It was only back in October the PSI was barrelling along, at 57.2, before slowing to an average-looking 53.8 in November.

Read more

A weaker QSBO by comparison

It was hard to see any redeeming features for services in the NZIER’s latest Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO). Net confidence amongst service firms, at -68%, became even more abysmal.

Read more

But pressure’s still on, especially staff-wise

If there was a redeeming feature of the latest QSBO, it was that the service sector is still run off its feet – as manifest in the positive employment reports regarding Q4, along with rising overtime and labour turnover.

Read more

Very mixed results by industry

By industry, retail trade posted its second successive below-50 result in December, with 47.5. This gelled with the clear fall in December’s electronic card transactions.

Read more

Craig Ebert

Craig Ebert

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Dec 2021 Aug 2022 Sep 2022 Oct 2022 Nov 2022 Dec 2022
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 51.0 58.6 55.9 57.2 53.8 52.1
Activity/Sales 52.7 66.0 59.7 60.9 58.2 52.1
Employment 49.5 51.3 50.7 57.3 51.8 47.1
New Orders/Business 53.4 66.6 62.4 59.7 57.4 58.4
Stocks/Inventories 52.3 59.7 54.4 55.8 54.6 51.7
Supplier Deliveries 48.7 50.2 49.7 52.2 46.8 53.4

BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

January 2016 – December 2022

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSITM

06 Jan 2023
48.1

About the PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PSI Releases

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New Zealand’s services sector continued its path of expansion in February, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for February was 53.0 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Green shoots?

New Zealand’s services sector climbed back into expansion for the start of 2024, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for January was 52.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding;...

Activity on holiday

New Zealand’s services sector fell back into contraction during December, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for December was 48.8 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Over the line

New Zealand’s services sector recorded expansion in November, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for November was 51.2 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is...

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

51.5

GDP-Weighted Index

50.5

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) saw the two options for measuring the PCI again both ease in expansion during December.

The December GDP-Weighted Index (51.5) decreased 1.2 points from November, while the Free-Weighted Index (50.5) dipped by 0.5 points.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Dec 2021 Aug 2022 Sep 2022 Oct 2022 Nov 2022 Dec 2022
GDP-Weighted Index 51.3 58.0 55.2 56.1 52.7 51.5
Free-Weighted Index 53.4 56.9 54.0 52.7 50.6 50.5

BNZ – BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

January 2016 – December 2022

About the PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations