BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of Services Index

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

46.9

November

-1.5

Monthly Change

Contracting

Faster Rate

The services sector in New Zealand dipped further into contraction during November, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).

The PSI for November was 46.9 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was 1.5 points lower than October, and the lowest level of activity since May 2025. The November result was also still well below the average of 52.8 over the history of the survey.

BusinessNZ’s CEO, Katherine Rich said that the November result put to bed any immediate hope that the sector was heading somewhere towards expansion. All five sub-index values were in contraction, with Activity/Sales (45.8) experiencing the greatest level of contraction for the current month. While New Orders/Business (49.3) still hovered just below the no change mark, Employment (46.4) also took a dip from October.

Despite a stronger level of contraction during November, the proportion of negative comments for November (52.9%) was lower than October (54.1%) and September (58.0%). Negative comments received show the services sector overwhelmingly citing the weak economic environment, including low consumer confidence, high living costs, inflation, interest rates, and reduced spending, as the main factors affecting recent activity.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “combined with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI), the composite activity indicator poses downside risk to even modest growth expectations for early next year”.

Activity/Sales
45.8
Employment
46.4
New Orders/
Business
49.3
Stocks/Inventories
46.5
Supplier
Deliveries
47.5
50.1
47.9
54.5
52.1

Katherine Rich

CEO, BusinessNZ

Services Landscape

Challenges continue

We expect Q3 GDP on Thursday to show a decent 0.9% q/q bounce. We believe the economy is slowly turning, but caution that the quarterly GDP figure is likely to overstate the underlying pace of recovery.

Read more

Not there yet

We noted way back in January that the economic recovery is unlikely to be in a straight line, and indicators will be choppy. The PSI has been no exception, falling again after previously approaching the breakeven 50 mark.

Read more

Retail

Retailers have been looking forward to the usual pickup in spending towards the end of the calendar year. There are some positive signs. Retail’s PSI lifted to 56.0 on an unadjusted basis, its strongest November since 2017.

Read more

Tourism

The service sector has exposure to international tourism, where recovery continues. We expect more growth over the summer season. Short-term visitor numbers have crept up to around 92% of pre-Covid levels.

Read more

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Nov 2024 Jul 2025 Aug 2025 Sep 2025 Oct 2025 Nov 2025
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 49.0 49.1 47.6 48.1 48.4 46.9
Activity/Sales 48.4 47.7 46.2 47.7 48.4 45.8
Employment 47.1 47.4 48.4 47.8 48.6 46.4
New Orders/Business 49.1 50.3 48.0 49.6 49.2 49.3
Stocks/Inventories 51.6 51.0 47.1 50.3 47.5 46.5
Supplier Deliveries 53.0 48.7 47.7 46.5 49.4 47.5

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

January 2019 – November 2025

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSI

04 Dec 2025
53.3
USA
54.1
UK
51.3
Eurozone
53.6
China
52.1
Japan
53.2
Australia
52.8
NZ
46.9

Stephen Summers

Economist, BusinessNZ

About The PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Mark Cox
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

47.4

GDP-Weighted Index

48.8

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) showed both indices in contraction during November.

The November GDP-Weighted Index stood at 47.4, while the Free-Weighted Index was 48.8.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted

National Indicies Nov 2024 Jul 2025 Aug 2025 Sep 2025 Oct 2025 Nov 2025
GDP-Weighted Index 48.8 49.6 47.9 48.4 48.8 47.4
Free-Weighted Index 47.9 50.7 48.5 49.0 50.0 48.8

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

January 2020 – November 2025

About The PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations