BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

Slow crawl

16 Sep, 2024
45.5
August
+0.3

Monthly Change

Contracting
Slower Rate

Activity in New Zealand’s services sector inched its way higher during August, although still firmly in contraction territory, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).

The PSI for August was 45.5 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was up 0.3 points from July, but still well below the average of 53.2 over the history of the survey.

BusinessNZ’s Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard said despite two consecutive months showing a lift in activity levels, the key index value for Activity/Sales (43.9) remains lackluster, while New Orders/Business (46.6) dipped slightly from July. On a more positive note, Employment (49.2) lifted to its highest result since March.

The proportion of negative comments for August stood at 60.8%, which was down from 67.0% in both July and June. Respondents continued to note the high cost of living and general economic conditions as reasons for ongoing tough times.

BNZ’s Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “smoothing through monthly volatility, the PSI’s 3-month average remains deep in contractionary territory at 43.9. The PSI has been in contraction for six consecutive months which is the longest continuous period of decline since the GFC”.

Activity/Sales
43.9
Employment
49.2
New Orders/
Business
46.6
Stocks/Inventories
44.6
Supplier
Deliveries
43.3
45.2
49.5
48.9
39.7
Catherine Beard

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Services Landscape

Still not good

The Performance of Services Index (PSI) lifted marginally from 45.2 to 45.5 in August. Those are better than June’s truly awful 41.0 but continues to reflect extremely challenging conditions for the services sector.

Read more

Bouncing below 50

Movements in the PSI sub-indices were mixed in August, but all of them remain in contraction. The PSI activity/sales index recovered the most from 41.2 to 43.9. While not indicating expansion, it is considerably less pessimistic than June’s 36.6.

Read more

Retail trade struggling

The PSI retail trade index increased from 31.8 to 36.8 in August but remains the weakest PSI industry. Official figures show that retail sales volumes have decreased in 9 out of the last 10 quarters through to Q2 this year.

Read more

Slower contraction

Joining together the PMI and PSI, the combined index (PCI) implies ongoing economic weakness. We anticipate next week’s Q2 GDP figures to show a contraction of -0.4% for the quarter.

Read more

Doug Steel

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Aug 2023 Apr 2024 May 2024 Jun 2024 Jul 2024 Aug 2024
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 47.2 46.3 43.0 41.0 45.2 45.5
Activity/Sales 43.4 45.7 40.8 36.6 41.2 43.9
Employment 49.9 46.9 46.1 45.9 47.0 49.2
New Orders/Business 47.4 46.2 42.6 39.5 47.0 46.6
Stocks/Inventories 50.9 46.0 42.4 44.2 45.3 44.6
Supplier Deliveries 49.1 47.2 45.7 41.5 41.1 43.3

BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

January 2019 – August 2024

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSITM

05 Sep 2024
53.8
USA
55.7
UK
53.7
Eurozone
52.9
China
51.6
Japan
53.7
Australia
52.5
NZ
45.5

About the PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PSI Releases

Relative progress

Activity in New Zealand’s services sector for July showed some improvement after a horrendous June result, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for July was 44.6 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is...

Sinking

Activity in New Zealand’s services sector sunk even further during June, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for June was 40.2 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0...

Bottom of the Barrel

Activity in New Zealand’s services sector dropped to its lowest level of activity for a non-COVID lockdown month since the survey began, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for May was 43.0 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates...

Struggle street

New Zealand’s services sector continued to contract further in April, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for April was 47.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that...

Lost momentum

New Zealand’s services sector fell back into contraction during March, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for March was 47.5 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that...

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

45.7

GDP-Weighted Index

45.6

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) again saw the two options for measuring the PCI both showing some upwards improvement.

The August GDP-Weighted Index (45.7) increased 0.5 points from July, while the Free-Weighted Index (45.6) rose 0.6 points.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Aug 2023 Apr 2024 May 2024 Jun 2024 Jul 2024 Aug 2024
GDP-Weighted Index 47.1 45.4 43.4 41.3 45.2 45.7
Free-Weighted Index 46.4 47.0 44.5

41.5 45.0 45.6

BNZ – BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

January 2020 – August 2024

About the PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations