BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

Evening out

17 Jul, 2023
50.1
June
-3.0

Monthly Change

Expanding
Slower Rate

New Zealand’s services sector experienced a decline in expansion during June, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).

The PSI for June was 50.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was down 3.0 points from May, and all but at the level of no change in activity. It was also well below the long-term average of 53.6 for the survey.

BusinessNZ chief executive Kirk Hope said that while the sector just managed to keep its head above water during June, overall activity levels for the last three months have all been below the long-term average. In terms of the sub-index results, three of the five measures showed some degree of expansion for June, including Activity/Sales (51.8) and New Orders/Business (51.3). However, Employment (49.1) showed contraction for the first time since December 2022.

“The drop in expansion during June also saw a pick up in the proportion of negative comments, which rose to 55.6%, compared with 49.4% in May. Overall, comments received by businesses noted a combination of economic challenges, including inflation, high costs, labor shortages, and declining market demand. These factors are contributing to slower business activity, reduced customer confidence and difficulties in attracting new clients”.

BNZ Senior Economist Craig Ebert said that “together, the NZ PSI and PMI paint a picture of flat GDP, slightly declining employment, and an order book that does not offer much, if anything, in the way of encouragement”.

Kirk Hope

Kirk Hope

CEO, BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Services Landscape

The PSI

After fluttering up to a near-average 53.3 in May, the Performance of Services Index (PSI) fell back to flat in June, with 50.1.

Read more

QSBO by comparison

If June’s PSI was struggling to go sideways, the latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) conveyed negative tendencies amongst services firms.

Read more

PSI details

While there was still a lot of variation across the PSI’s industry detail, it became less extreme in June.

Read more

Global and GDP considerations

Unlike the NZ PMI – which has been running in line with its (soft) global counterpart of late – the local PSI has failed to match the resilience in the global PSI.

Read more

Craig Ebert

Craig Ebert

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Jun 2022 Feb 2023 Mar 2023 Apr 2023 May 2023 Jun 2023
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 54.3 55.7 53.9 50.0 53.1 50.1
Activity/Sales 55.0 53.7 56.3 45.4 52.0 51.8
Employment 52.4 51.1 51.3 50.2 52.3 49.1
New Orders/Business 60.0 56.1 52.9 50.1 55.4 51.3
Stocks/Inventories 54.4 58.3 57.3 56.7 56.4 47.3
Supplier Deliveries 48.3 55.1 54.0 50.4 50.9 50.5

BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

January 2016 – June 2023

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSITM

07 Jul 2023
54.0

About the PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PSI Releases

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New Zealand’s services sector continued its path of expansion in February, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for February was 53.0 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Green shoots?

New Zealand’s services sector climbed back into expansion for the start of 2024, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for January was 52.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding;...

Activity on holiday

New Zealand’s services sector fell back into contraction during December, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for December was 48.8 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Over the line

New Zealand’s services sector recorded expansion in November, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for November was 51.2 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is...

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

49.8

GDP-Weighted Index

48.9

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) saw the two options for measuring the PCI both decrease.

The June GDP-Weighted Index (49.8) fell 2.7 points from May, while the Free-Weighted Index (48.9) decreased 0.8 points.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Jun 2022 Feb 2023 Mar 2023 Apr 2023 May 2023 Jun 2023
GDP-Weighted Index 53.7 55.2 53.1 50.2 52.5 49.8
Free-Weighted Index 51.9 53.5 50.1 48.5 50.7 48.9

BNZ – BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

January 2016 – June 2023

About the PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations