BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

Holding pattern – PSI

14 Oct, 2019
54.4
September
-0.2

Monthly Change

expanding
slower rate

Expansion in New Zealand’s services sector continued to ease back marginally in September, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).

The PSI for September was 54.4, which was another 0.2 points down from August (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining).  The September result was also exactly at the long term average of 54.4 for the survey.

BusinessNZ chief executive Kirk Hope said that the services sector has been fairly settled in terms of expansion over the last three months.

“The fact that new orders/business (59.3) improved to its highest result since January should assist with general business activity going forward.  However, looking more broadly the gap in performance between the services and manufacturing sectors persists.  With other key economic data showing a general trend decline, the question becomes to what degree will the services sector be affected by slowing influences elsewhere in the months ahead.

Looking at comments from respondents, the proportion of positive comments for September stood at 48.6%, compared with 51.8% in August and 47.6% in July.

BNZ Senior Economist Doug Steel said that “the solidity of the service sector remains in stark contrast to the manufacturing sector as portrayed by the still substandard Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) released last week. The PSI and PMI composite index continues to point to overall annual economic growth slowing to around the 1.5% mark”.

Kirk Hope

Kirk Hope

CEO, BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Services Landscape

Same, Same

Looking from the top down, New Zealand’s service sector looked much the same in September as it did in August. That is, growing at a steady, trend-like, pace. The Performance of Services Index (PSI) was 54.4 in September. This was little different to August’s 54.6 and actually smack on the long term average for the series.
Read more

But Different

While the headline PSI looks much the same as before, the details suggest it is on a firmer footing and enough to keep optimism for some growth ahead.
Read more

Tourism Slower

Looking at the PSI by industry shows the usual volatility month to month. Smoothing on a three month average basis sees nearly all industries showing healthy growth.
Read more

Doug Steel

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Sep
2018
May
2019
Jun
2019
Jul
2019
Aug
2019
Sep
2019
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 54.2 53.7 53.1 54.8 54.6 54.4
Activity/Sales 56.2 55.1 55.1 57.2 56.1 54.4
Employment 50.1 51.2 51.1 52.1 53.4 52.7
New Orders/Business 56.9 56.0 55.6 58.5 56.9 59.3
Stocks/Inventories 54.4 56.2 53.7 54.4 53.5 51.8
Supplier Deliveries 52.2 51.4 49.7 48.9 51.6 50.5

BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

September 2015 – September 2019

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSITM

03 Oct 2019
51.6

About the PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PSI Releases

Struggle street

New Zealand’s services sector continued to contract further in April, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for April was 47.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that...

Lost momentum

New Zealand’s services sector fell back into contraction during March, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for March was 47.5 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that...

Path of expansion

New Zealand’s services sector continued its path of expansion in February, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for February was 53.0 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Green shoots?

New Zealand’s services sector climbed back into expansion for the start of 2024, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for January was 52.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding;...

Activity on holiday

New Zealand’s services sector fell back into contraction during December, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for December was 48.8 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

53.8

GDP-Weighted Index

52.0

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) saw the two options for measuring the PCI stay relatively similar in September.

The September GDP-Weighted Index (53.8) decreased 0.2 points from August, while the Free-Weighted Index (52.0) rose 0.1 points.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Sep
2018
May
2019
Jun
2019
Jul
2019
Aug
2019
Sep
2019
GDP-Weighted Index 54.1 53.2 52.8 54.1 54.0 53.8
Free-Weighted Index 53.5 52.0 52.5 52.1 51.9 52.0

BNZ – BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

September 2015 – September 2019

About the PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations