BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

Holiday Mode – PSI

15 Feb, 2016
55.4
January
-3.1

Monthly Change

expanding
slower rate

New Zealand’s services sector began 2016 with a solid level of expansion, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).
 
The PSI for January was 55.4.  While this was 3.1 points lower than December, it still represented healthy activity in the sector (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining).
 
BusinessNZ chief executive Kirk Hope said that January’s result had a notable seasonal aspect to it.

“While the proportion of positive comments (59.7%) continued to dominate, those mentioning the Xmas/holiday break was notably stronger with those outlining negative influences on activity over January.  On the plus side, there were a noticeable number of comments related to both domestic and international tourists assisting activity”.
 
Regarding the January result, BNZ Senior Economist Craig Ebert said “the PSI lost a bit of steam in January, but it’s difficult to know if this is anything more than the usual monthly bounce-around.  However, put with the relatively better PMI (57.9), January’s PSI remains enough to suggest annual GDP growth running in the range of 3 to 4%.  We figure something closer to 2.5%”.

Kirk Hope

Kirk Hope

CEO, BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Services Landscape

The PSI

New Zealand’s Performance of Services Index (PSI) lost a bit of steam in January. It’s difficult to know if this is anything more than the usual monthly bounce-around.
Read more  

Consumer Spending

By way of industry groupings in the PSI, an obvious deceleration came through Retail Trade.Yet we find it hard to believe retail spending is going flat.
Read more  

Wages and Salaries

Few could fault the strength of the Q4 Household Labour Force Survey. However, it has left a picture of robust growth in jobs and an under-control unemployment rate.
Read more  

Credit

The 0.6% increase in household credit in December didn’t sound a lot. However, it annualises above 7% and it meant for a $15b increase in household debt over 12 months.
Read more .

Craig Ebert

Craig Ebert

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Jan
2015
Sep
2015
Oct
2015
Nov
2015
Dec
2015
Jan
2016
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 58.4 59.2 56.4 59.5 58.5 55.4
Activity/Sales 61.1 62.8 57.4 62.1 61.7 58.0
Employment 55.5 53.4 53.1 54.9 53.4 50.9
New Orders/Business 61.7 63.3 56.8 64.0 63.8 57.0
Stocks/Inventories 53.5 57.0 56.2 56.8 55.2 55.0
Supplier Deliveries 55.8 55.2 56.0 57.5 55.2 55.8

BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

January 2011 – January 2015

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSITM

03 Feb 2016
52.8

About the PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PSI Releases

Struggle street

New Zealand’s services sector continued to contract further in April, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for April was 47.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that...

Lost momentum

New Zealand’s services sector fell back into contraction during March, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for March was 47.5 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that...

Path of expansion

New Zealand’s services sector continued its path of expansion in February, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for February was 53.0 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Green shoots?

New Zealand’s services sector climbed back into expansion for the start of 2024, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for January was 52.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding;...

Activity on holiday

New Zealand’s services sector fell back into contraction during December, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for December was 48.8 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

56.0

GDP-Weighted Index

57.5

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) saw the two options for measuring the PCI slip slightly from December.
 
The GDP-Weighted Index (56.0) eased 2.3 points from December, while the Free-Weighted Index (57.5) only dropped 0.5 points in expansion. The greater drop in expansion with the former was due to the services sector expanding at a slower rate.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Jan
2015
Sep
2015
Oct
2015
Nov
2015
Dec
2015
Jan
2016
GDP-Weighted Index 57.4 58.7 55.9 58.5 58.3 56.0
Free-Weighted Index 54.9 57.5 54.1 57.3 58.0 57.5

BNZ – BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

January 2011 – January 2015

About the PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations