BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

Some spring in step

16 Oct, 2023
50.7
September
+3.0

Monthly Change

Expanding
Previously Contracting

New Zealand’s services sector experienced a return to expansion in September, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).

The PSI for September was 50.7 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was up 3.0 points from August, although still below the long-term average of 53.5 for the survey.

BusinessNZ chief executive Kirk Hope said that the September result broke the trend of three consecutive months in contraction for the sector. New Orders/Business (53.9) led the charge, while Activity/Sales (50.9) picked up 6 points. In contrast, Employment (50.6) showed weaker expansion for the month, while Stocks/Inventories (47.9) fell back into contraction after two months in expansion.

“The proportion of negative comments stood at 61.8% for September, down slightly from 63.9% in August. Overall, negative comments continued to be strongly dominated by uncertainty regarding the upcoming General Election, as well as the cost of living”.

BNZ Senior Economist Craig Ebert said that “the seasonally adjusted reading of 50.7 was clearly better than August’s 19-month low of 47.7. However, it was also clearly south of its long-term average of 53.5. Stabilised but hardly buoyant”.

Kirk Hope

Kirk Hope

CEO, BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Services Landscape

Getting a grip

Having been on a slippery slope over recent months, into the red, the Performance of Services Index (PSI) managed to right its way back into positive territory in September – albeit only just.

Read more

To the rescue

In terms of what drove the fight-back in September’s PSI, by principal components it was new orders/business. This jumped to 53.9, from 48.5 in August.

Read more

Services messages from the QSBO

More detail as to what’s going on in New Zealand’s services sector was provided by October’s NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO).

Read more

For GDP consideration

What’s implied for economic growth? Probably that it’s struggling. Of course, GDP jumped a relatively strong 0.9%, in Q2, supported by government-heavy services categories.

Read more

Craig Ebert

Craig Ebert

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Sep 2022 May 2023 Jun 2023 Jul 2023 Aug 2023 Sep 2023
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 55.2 52.6 49.7 48.4 47.7 50.7
Activity/Sales 58.4 51.4 51.1 40.2 44.9 50.9
Employment 50.7 52.2 49.1 49.2 51.0 50.6
New Orders/Business 61.2 54.9 50.6 45.3 48.5 53.9
Stocks/Inventories 55.6 55.9 47.4 53.5 51.4 47.9
Supplier Deliveries 49.9 50.8 50.8 52.0 49.2 49.6

BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

January 2019 – September 2023

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSITM

04 Oct 2023
50.8

About the PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

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BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

50.2

GDP-Weighted Index

48.8

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) saw the two options for measuring the PCI show contrasting results for September.

The September GDP-Weighted Index (50.2) rose 2.7 points from August to show slight expansion, while the Free-Weighted Index (48.8) increased 1.7 points but remained in contraction.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Sep 2022 May 2023 Jun 2023 Jul 2023 Aug 2023 Sep 2023
GDP-Weighted Index 54.8 52.4 49.7 48.4 47.5 50.2
Free-Weighted Index 53.8 50.6 48.8 47.7 47.1 48.8

BNZ – BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

January 2019 – September 2023

About the PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations