BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Services Index

To and fro

17 Apr, 2023
54.4
March
-1.4

Monthly Change

Expanding
slower rate

Expansion levels for New Zealand’s services sector decreased in March, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI).

The PSI for March was 54.4 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was down 1.4 points from February, but still above the long-term average of 53.6 for the survey.

BusinessNZ chief executive Kirk Hope said that the March result was relatively consistent with activity levels seen so far during 2023. In terms of the sub-index results, Activity/Sales (56.7) rose to its highest level since November 2022, while in contrast New Orders/Business (53.1) dropped to its lowest level of expansion since July 2022. Employment (51.3) remained very stable over the first three months of 2023, while both Stocks/Inventories (57.3) and Supplier Deliveries (55.0) both slipped slightly over March.

“Although there was a moderate decline in expansion levels during March, the proportion of negative comments jumped from 51.9% in February to 58.6% in March. A cooling economy, effects of price increases and general uncertainty were the main comments that came through”.

BNZ Senior Economist Craig Ebert said that “while the PSI held reasonably firm in March, the PMI slipped into a slightly negative position. Still, there was enough in them, overall, to suggest a positive underlying tendency in activity”.

Kirk Hope

Kirk Hope

CEO, BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PSI

Services Landscape

The PSI

The Performance of Services Index (PSI) held to a relatively firm pace in March. Its seasonally adjusted reading of 54.4 was a touch slower than February’s 55.8 but a cut above its long-term norm of 53.6.

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Sub-group features

Variation in the industry results was more a matter of noting the degree of expansion at play now. Just Retail Trade, at 31.6, printed below the 50 breakeven level (for the fifth month running).

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QSBO circumspection

Relative to the PSI, the NZIER’s Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) was more circumspect about the services sector.

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Implications for GDP

While the PSI held reasonably firm in March, the PMI slipped into a slightly negative position. Still, there was enough in them, overall, to suggest a positive underlying tendency in activity.

Read more

Craig Ebert

Craig Ebert

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Services Index (PSI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand service sector.

PSI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Mar 2022 Nov 2022 Dec 2022 Jan 2023 Feb 2023 Mar 2023
BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI 52.4 53.7 52.1 54.7 55.8 54.4
Activity/Sales 53.8 57.2 51.9 52.2 53.9 56.7
Employment 49.3 51.7 46.8 51.6 51.1 51.3
New Orders/Business 59.3 57.0 57.8 54.3 56.3 53.1
Stocks/Inventories 52.4 54.7 51.9 54.8 58.5 57.3
Supplier Deliveries 41.6 46.8 53.8 52.2 55.8 55.0

BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI Time Series

January 2016 – March 2023

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PSITM

06 Apr 2023
53.4

About the PSI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index is a monthly survey of the service sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PSI reading above 50 points indicates service activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PSI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PSI Releases

Lost momentum

New Zealand’s services sector fell back into contraction during March, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for March was 47.5 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that...

Path of expansion

New Zealand’s services sector continued its path of expansion in February, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for February was 53.0 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Green shoots?

New Zealand’s services sector climbed back into expansion for the start of 2024, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for January was 52.1 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding;...

Activity on holiday

New Zealand’s services sector fell back into contraction during December, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for December was 48.8 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below...

Over the line

New Zealand’s services sector recorded expansion in November, according to the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index (PSI). The PSI for November was 51.2 (A PSI reading above 50.0 indicates that the service sector is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is...

BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Composite Index

53.4

GDP-Weighted Index

50.3

Free-Weighted Index

The seasonally adjusted BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index or PCI (which combines the PMI and PSI) saw the two options for measuring the PCI both decrease in expansion for March.

The March GDP-Weighted Index (53.4) decreased 1.8 points from February, while the Free-Weighted Index (50.3) dropped 3.2 points.

PCI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Mar 2022 Nov 2022 Dec 2022 Jan 2023 Feb 2023 Mar 2023
GDP-Weighted Index 54.4 52.8 51.7 54.0 55.2 53.4
Free-Weighted Index 54.5 50.7 50.7 51.7 53.5 50.3

BNZ – BusinessNZ PCI Time Series

January 2016 – March 2023

About the PCI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Composite Index (PCI) takes into account results from both the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and the Performance of Services Index (PSI). Combined results are shown in two ways:

GDP-Weighted Index:
Apportions the weight of the manufacturing and services index within the economy to produce an overall result.

Free-Weighted Index:
Combines data from both indexes to produce an overall result.

Both time series for the PCI are then seasonally adjusted.

BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PCI

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PSI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations